Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.246371e-05 0.000038 0.000045 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069 0.000080
2025-03-30 2.448280e-05 0.000032 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064 0.000078 0.000095
2025-04-06 1.862867e-05 0.000027 0.000037 0.000050 0.000065 0.000084 0.000107
2025-04-13 1.382922e-05 0.000022 0.000032 0.000046 0.000064 0.000086 0.000115
2025-04-20 1.079733e-05 0.000019 0.000029 0.000045 0.000065 0.000090 0.000124
2025-04-27 8.917033e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000045 0.000067 0.000096 0.000136
2025-05-04 7.515282e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000045 0.000070 0.000103 0.000148
2025-05-11 6.929042e-06 0.000015 0.000028 0.000047 0.000076 0.000113 0.000165
2025-05-18 5.925375e-06 0.000014 0.000027 0.000048 0.000078 0.000119 0.000177
2025-05-25 4.537706e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000045 0.000076 0.000120 0.000182
2025-06-01 3.592379e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000044 0.000076 0.000122 0.000189
2025-06-08 2.968603e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000043 0.000077 0.000126 0.000198
2025-06-15 2.310182e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000043 0.000079 0.000132 0.000211
2025-06-22 1.737179e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000042 0.000080 0.000137 0.000223
2025-06-29 1.218424e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000040 0.000080 0.000140 0.000231
2025-07-06 7.603663e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000037 0.000077 0.000139 0.000235
2025-07-13 5.018969e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000077 0.000141 0.000243
2025-07-20 3.614276e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000036 0.000079 0.000147 0.000257
2025-07-27 2.640707e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000036 0.000081 0.000154 0.000271
2025-08-03 2.356371e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000038 0.000087 0.000166 0.000295
2025-08-10 1.697587e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000038 0.000089 0.000173 0.000310
2025-08-17 8.631870e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000036 0.000087 0.000172 0.000314
2025-08-24 4.441214e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000035 0.000086 0.000174 0.000322